By Rob Trice and Seana Day
Last month as our Mixing Bowl colleagues Michael Rose and An Wang were interviewing Sonny Ranaswamy of the USDA’s NIFA to better understand current US food and agriculture labor issues, we were representing The Mixing Bowl in discussions on potential solutions to food production labor issues through automation and robotics.
At this year’s RoboUniverse event in San Diego there was a full-day track on December 14th dedicated to the application of robotics to agriculture. The industry track, pulled together in great part by Nathan Dorn, CEO of Food Origins and an Advisor to The Mixing Bowl, featured a knowledgeable group of automation/robotics experts and food producers who drew on their experience to define the opportunities and sharpen focus on the challenges. Nathan authored a detailed summary of the day in a post on Agfunder.
Our conclusion is that there is no denying that we are still in the early days of adoption of robotics in agriculture.
So why are we confident things will change? For two reasons.
When the money stops the thinking starts.
The US dairy market and many other commodity markets, including corn and soy, are insulated from market pricing through government programs that establish a guaranteed floor price for the purchase of their goods. Many of these commodity markets, however, have seen bumper harvests the last couple years so the commodity pricing is sitting on the floor at recent historic lows. Most family-owned and operated dairies in the US that comprise 97% of the US market have not made a profit in the last two years. In fact, USDA is forecasting that median average on-farm income for America’s two million family farms will be -$1,412, nearly twice as bad as the 2015 median of -$765.
Technology is is pervading all sectors. Agriculture will be no exception.
One of the themes that we harp on at The Mixing Bowl is the spread of “Exponential Innovation” that is bringing technology innovation to all of us. Curt Carlson, formerly of SRI, and 3D Robotics CEO Chris Anderson, among others, have written of this trend whereby more and more of us are gaining access to powerful tools to innovation: affordable access to a pervasive internet; anything-as-a-service via cloud-based computing; open-source software and publicly available large data sets through APIs (application protocol interfaces); and low-cost, democratized tools of production, discovery, distribution, logistics, marketing and customer management. The result, as Carlson notes:
In a world where so many people have access to education and cheap tools of innovation…The sweet spot for innovation today is “moving down”, closer to the people because all the people together are smarter than anyone alone and all the people have to tools to invest and collaborate.
Walking the floor at RoboUniverse, you could see technologies—better, cheaper and faster than even one year ago—hungrily searching for markets. The food production sector in the US has challenges and its acute financial reality is forcing it to embrace a new mindset. This is why we remain bullish that robotics and automation will reach the food and agriculture markets.